EUR/USD Price Forecast – Euro Pulls Back From 50 Day EMA

The Euro has pulled back a bit during the course of the trading session on Friday, as the 50 day EMA seems to have offered significant technical resistance.

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China NBS Non-Manufacturing PMI came in at 49.4 below forecasts (50.3) in January 31 January 2026

China NBS Non-Manufacturing PMI came in at 49.4 below forecasts (50.3) in January

China NBS Manufacturing PMI came in at 49.3, below expectations (50) in January 31 January 2026

China NBS Manufacturing PMI came in at 49.3, below expectations (50) in January

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EUR/USD drops during the North American session, down by 0.75% amid a session characterized by overall US Dollar strength, sponsored by Trump’s mild-hawkish pick to lead the Federal Reserve and an inflation report that warrants steady rates by the Federal Reserve.

Japan CFTC JPY NC Net Positions rose from previous ¥-44.8K to ¥-33.9K 30 January 2026

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Australia CFTC AUD NC Net Positions: $7.1K vs $-14K

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The United States (US) Federal Reserve (Fed) had a busy week. On Monday, the Fed asked local New York banks about their positions in USD/JPY, fueling speculation that the US may be preparing to work with Japan on the Japanes Yen's (JPY) weakness.

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Unconfirmed reports suggest that China may inject RMB 200 billion into large insurers to bolster their capital buffers, alongside an additional RMB 300 billion into major banks. This move aims to support the banking sector amid downward pressure on net interest margins.

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USD/JPY jumps as US Dollar strengthens on hawkish signals, Warsh nomination 30 January 2026

USD/JPY rebounds around 154.50 on Friday at the time of writing, up 0.90% on the day, supported by a renewed recovery in the US Dollar (USD) after several weeks of weakness. The move comes as markets reassess the monetary policy outlook in the United States (US) and Japan.

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JPY: Weakness concerns amid intervention – BNY 30 January 2026

The Japanese Yen remains under pressure, with concerns raised by local business leaders about its excessive weakness impacting profitability and wage growth.

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EUR/USD Price Forecast – Euro Pulls Back From 50 Day EMA

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