NEWS: Trade ideas thread – European session 7 April 2021 April 07, 2021 at 06:51AM

Daily thread to exchange ideas and to share your thoughts
Barring a major correction, the dollar may still find some support along the way as long as yields keep somewhat elevated.

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FL NEWS

Fed’s Goolsbee: Inflation would come roaring back 7 April 2026

Austan Goolsbee, President of the Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Chicago, said that inflation will come roaring back, citing that with Oil prices rising, this is a stagflationary shock to the market in a prepared speech in Detroit on Tuesday.

Asian FX: Sideways as Hormuz risks linger – OCBC 7 April 2026

OCBC strategists Christopher Wong and Sim Moh Siong note that Asian FX, including South Korean Won (KRW), has traded slightly firmer on hopes of de-escalation in the Middle East, but stresses that geopolitics remains the key driver.

WTI remains volatile ahead of Trump’s Iran deadline 7 April 2026

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Crude Oil trades in a volatile and choppy range on Tuesday as traders remain cautious ahead of a deadline set by US President Donald Trump for Iran to reach a deal.

TRY: Fragile as oil shock worsens outlook – Commerzbank 7 April 2026

Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose argues that Turkey’s brief disinflation respite is already obsolete as higher Oil prices and external shocks dominate. Headline CPI slowed in March, but core dynamics remain strong and credibility concerns persist.

United States 3-Year Note Auction: 3.897% vs 3.579% 7 April 2026

United States 3-Year Note Auction: 3.897% vs 3.579%

Pound Sterling Price News and Forecast:Climbs as ceasefire hopes in the Mid-East battle fresh fears 7 April 2026

The Pound Sterling rose by over 0.20% on Tuesday amid speculation of a ceasefire agreement, but newswires revealed that the chances of a deal are far, increasing the likelihood of an US attack as Trump’s deadline approaches. The GBP/USD trades at 1.3241, still above its opening price. Read More...

Central banks: Asia and EM seen on hold this week – BBH 7 April 2026

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad anticipates the RBI, NBP, BCRP and BOK will all leave policy rates unchanged at upcoming meetings.

Gold trades choppy as Trump’s Iran ultimatum weighs on market sentiment 7 April 2026

Gold (XAU/USD) is trading in a choppy range on Tuesday with markets on edge as the ultimatum from US President Donald Trump to reach a deal with Iran nears its deadline.

GBP/USD climbs as Middle East ceasefire hopes ease fresh fears 7 April 2026

The Pound Sterling (GBP) rises by over 0.20% against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday amid speculation of a ceasefire agreement, but newswires revealed that the chances of a deal are far, increasing the likelihood of a US attack as Donald Trump’s deadline approaches.

Dow Jones Industrial Average slides as Iran deadline looms, Oil tops $116 7 April 2026

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) dropped around 380 points, or 0.8%, snapping a four-session winning streak as risk appetite collapsed in the hours before President Trump's self-imposed deadline for Iran to agree to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

USD/JPY nears 160 as Trump hints at nuclear war 7 April 2026

The USD/JPY pair is trading near the 159.95 price region with a strong but volatile tone on Tuesday, as markets react to a sharp escalation in the ongoing conflict between Israel, the United States (US and Iran.

3.4% in 12 months: what are US consumers bracing for? 7 April 2026

The Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of New York's Survey of Consumer Expectations (SCE) for March showed one-year-ahead inflation expectations jumping to 3.4%, up 0.4 percentage points from February's 3.0% reading.

EUR/USD gains as Trump’s Iran deadline approaches 7 April 2026

The Euro (EUR) rises against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday, as the Greenback softens amid cautious market sentiment ahead of a deadline set by US President Donald Trump for Iran to reach a deal or open the Strait of Hormuz.

US: Oil shock complicates Fed path – MUFG 7 April 2026

MUFG’s Head of Research Derek Halpenny argues that rising Oil and gasoline prices from the Middle East conflict are set to push US inflation higher, with March CPI expected to jump. He highlights a sharp rise in ISM Services prices paid and weakening employment indices.

Gold: Range-bound trade with upside skew – DBS 7 April 2026

DBS Group Research’s Eugene Leow notes that Gold has stayed relatively stable despite conflicting geopolitical news, including a potential ceasefire and renewed threats around the Strait of Hormuz.

Oil: Supply shock supports $90–100 well into 2027 – TD Securities 7 April 2026

TD Securities’ commodity team argues that prolonged disruption in the Persian Gulf and blocked flows through the Strait of Hormuz leave Oil poised for another sharp leg higher.

Iran cuts off direct communications with US – WSJ 7 April 2026

The Wall Street Journal reported on Tuesday that Iran has cut off direct communications with the United States (US) following President Donald Trump's threat to destroy Iran's whole civilization.

SEK: Growth outlook limits downside – Societe Generale 7 April 2026

Kit Juckes at Societe Generale highlights Sweden as the only G10 economy forecast to grow faster than the United States (US) this year, yet notes the Swedish Krona (SEK) is currently the weakest G10 currency.

New Zealand GDT Price Index fell from previous 0.1% to -3.4% 7 April 2026

New Zealand GDT Price Index fell from previous 0.1% to -3.4%

NZD: RBNZ seen on hold with dovish tone – ING 7 April 2026

ING’s Chris Turner expects the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) to leave rates unchanged at 2.25% with no new forecasts and limited guidance, as markets price only modest tightening this year.

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Daily thread to exchange ideas and to share your thoughts Barring a major correction, the dollar may still find some support along the way as long as yields keep somewhat elevated.

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Daily thread to exchange ideas and to share your thoughts
Barring a major correction, the dollar may still find some support along the way as long as yields keep somewhat elevated.