What to expect in 2021 according to prediction markets

January 02, 2021

What to expect in 2021 according to prediction markets
The wisdom of the crowds offers some signals for the year ahead Continue Reading…
Author: | Post link: https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2021/01/02/what-to-expect-in-2021-according-to-prediction-markets
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Graphic detail

Pound Sterling Price News and Forecast: Steady as markets brace for blockbuster Fed–BoE two weeks 8 December 2025

GBP/USD holds firms at around 1.3325 below the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of 1.3329 as investors wait for the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decision, which kept the US Dollar steady across the G10 FX board. Read More...

New Zealand Dollar weakens as risk appetite fades, RBNZ stance cushions losses 8 December 2025

NZD/USD declines on Monday, trading around 0.5770 at the time of writing, down 0.10% on the day. After briefly touching 0.5790, the pair erased its earlier gains as market sentiment turned more cautious.

GBP/USD steady as markets brace for blockbuster Fed–BoE two weeks 8 December 2025

Gold under pressure as US Dollar firms and Treasury yields rise 8 December 2025

Gold (XAU/USD) kicks off the week on a quiet note, with traders reluctant to take fresh positions ahead of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest rate decision on Wednesday. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading around $4,190, easing after rising to an intraday high of $4,219.

USD/CHF climbs to one-week high as traders brace for Fed and SNB rate decisions 8 December 2025

The Swiss Franc (CHF) trades on the back foot against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday as markets reposition ahead of this week’s key monetary policy decisions from the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Swiss National Bank (SNB).

Pound Sterling Price News and Forecast: GBP trades subduedly 8 December 2025

The Pound Sterling (GBP) trades slightly lower against its major currency peers at the start of the week, hovering at around 1.3320 against the US Dollar (USD).

RBA pivot hints at tightening, AUD poised to benefit – BNY 8 December 2025

Expectations are rising that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will confirm a pivot toward tightening in its final decision of the year.

AUD/USD stabilizes as RBA outlook shifts, Fed decision approaches 8 December 2025

AUD/USD trades steadily around 0.6640 at the time of writing on Monday, after a four-day rally that pushed the pair to two-month highs. The consolidation comes as investors turn cautious ahead of Tuesday’s Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decision and Wednesday’s Federal Reserve (Fed) announcement.

JPY weakens against USD in early NA trade – Scotiabank 8 December 2025

The Japanese Yen (JPY) slips 0.2% versus the US Dollar (USD), underperforming the G10, as rising US yields and firm domestic rate expectations weigh on the currency.

USD/CAD extends slide as steady BoC expectations clash with Fed easing bets 8 December 2025

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) edges higher against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday, extending gains as investors continue to favour the Loonie on diverging expectations for the Bank of Canada (BoC) and the Federal Reserve (Fed).

GBP edges lower in early NA trade – Scotiabank 8 December 2025

The Pound Sterling (GBP) trades slightly lower versus the US Dollar (USD), consolidating after a strong budget-driven rally.

Is American Funds Inc Fnd of Amer A (AMECX) a strong mutual fund pick right now? 8 December 2025

If you've been stuck searching for Large Cap Value funds, consider American Funds Inc Fnd of Amer A (AMECX) as a possibility. AMECX carries a Zacks Mutual Fund Rank of 2 (Buy), which is based on various forecasting factors like size, cost, and past performance.

EUR holds steady near mid-1.16s – Scotiabank 8 December 2025

The Euro (EUR) is entering Monday’s NA session flat to the US Dollar (USD) with an extension of its recent consolidation in the mid-1.16s, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.

CAD gains on strong Canadian jobs data – Scotiabank 8 December 2025

Sluggish labor market conditions in the US contrast with resilient trends in Canada after another strong headline beat for Canadian data Friday, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.

USD mixed ahead of key FOMC decision – Scotiabank 8 December 2025

The US Dollar (USD) is narrowly mixed in quiet trade as investors await this week’s key event—Wednesday’s FOMC decision, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.

White House Economic Adviser Hasset: Powell probably agrees it's prudent to cut rates 8 December 2025

White House Economic Adviser Kevin Hassett said that they should continue lowering the rate and that Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell probably agrees it's prudent to cut rates in an interview with CNBC on Monday.

AIZ Elliott Wave analysis: Short term trade idea aiming $250 8 December 2025

AIZ maintains the bullish sequence from the March 2020 low. In November, the stock broke a key resistance level and set up new opportunities for buyers from the dip targeting $250 next. This blog post explains the overall view and where buyers could find new entries.

BlackRock (BLK) next buying opportunity below $1,000 8 December 2025

We previously mapped BlackRock’s (NYSE: BLK) bullish weekly path earlier this year. Today, our analysis continues with the Elliott Wave structure behind its rally from the 2022 low. This update highlights the next high-probability buying opportunity emerging for the stock.

McDonald’s (MCD) is lagging, will it burn out or bounce back? 8 December 2025

McDonald’s (MCD) stock has faced short-term pressure, dropping about 2% recently, yet its fundamentals remain strong. The company continues to benefit from its global franchising model, which delivers high margins and stable cash flow.

EUR/USD fluctuates within previous ranges awaiting the Fed 8 December 2025

EUR/USD shows marginal gains on Monday, trading near 1.1650, after giving away most ot the daily gains during the European morning session.

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